Wednesday, October 15, 2014

Local Real Estate Market and Rate forecast




See how Houston zip codes rank among the rest of the country, according to real estate blog Movoto
  

Wow !! How low can they go? Interest rates in a free fall this morning, more so than what we have experienced since the rally began. The 10 yr at 9:00 at 2.04% down 16 bps from yesterday’s 10 basis point decline, 25 basis points in less than 24 hours and now down 60 basis points in rate in less than a month.China’s consumer-price gains declined to the lowest in five months.
US economic releases at 8:30 are not helping.



Ebola is increasing in headlines, but we remain with our take that it isn’t yet a market influence. Actually markets don’t any more to be concerned with as deflation is edging more to the forefront and global economies are declining. A correction in US stock markets? Not sure we can simply call it a correction given the recent global economic reports all being weaker than thought by most estimates, here and abroad.
At 9:30 the 10 yr rate was down to 1.98%, down 22 bps from yesterday’s close; at 9:45 at 1.96% This move today can only be compared to Oct 1987 when the stock market collapsed and interest rates went into a free fall that lasted three days. It looks like a possible blow-off move in the rate and stock markets, especially in the rate sector. It may look like a blow-off move but it can’t be certain until after the fact.

There isn’t much more to add. This day will go down as a record in terms of the volatility and the amount of decline in interest rates.

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